{"id":"W3131864371","doi":"10.1080/07055900.2021.1879726","title":"Projected Trends of Wintertime North American Surface Mean and Extreme Temperatures over the Next Half-century in Two Generations of Canadian Earth System Models","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"National Key Research and Development Program of China; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Climatology; Earth system science; Earth (classical element); Environmental science; Geology; Atmospheric sciences; Oceanography; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008090775,0.0008316212,0.0004210271,0.0006283554,0.001225041,0.0008350048,0.001203556,0.0004898538,0.001187126],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001587243,0.0003449467,0.001084447,0.0009847929,0.0003391726,0.0005379179,0.0004989887,0.0004895903,0.0001390358],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01107454,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.008182862,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9648095,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.963387,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997534,0.00002824592,0.00001113764,0.00007072712,0.00006893598,0.00006763191],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993363,0.00006241823,0.00005050696,0.00004559756,0.000417185,0.00008799652],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002354938,0.00007172298,0.2094121,0.00006190755,0.0005586636,0.0001310713,0.0002054914,0.7692098,0.001911151,0.00192063,0.004223347,0.01205855],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001047869,0.00004635254,0.177903,0.00002635125,0.0002770778,0.00004348948,0.0002387776,0.8149336,0.00130072,0.0006536672,0.004359621,0.0001125442],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9904432,0.000202699,0.001343342,0.0002991167,0.00002268638,0.00001991676,0.004907558,0.0001068446,0.002654688],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9875435,0.0002454094,0.002541305,0.00007666711,0.000009955586,0.00002881759,0.008326861,0.00002124746,0.001206158],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03519046,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08035183,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02355460047669038,"score_gpt":0.2243019267239391,"score_spread":0.2007473262472488,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}