{"id":"W3134208712","doi":"10.1126/science.abg3055","title":"Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Science","topic":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":2611,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Research England; Statens Serum Institut; Medical Research Council; Hôpitaux Universitaires de Genève; CANDU Owners Group; Public Health England; Research Councils UK; National Institute of General Medical Sciences; National Institute for Health and Care Research; National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit; Academy of Medical Sciences; Wellcome Trust; Economic and Social Research Council; Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office; European Commission; University of Bern; Universitätsspital Basel; Université de Sfax; UK Research and Innovation; Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich; University of Kentucky; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","keywords":"Transmissibility (structural dynamics); Lineage (genetic); Transmission (telecommunications); Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Incidence (geometry); Virology; Virus; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Coronavirus; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Biology; Mutation; Sars virus; Medicine; Disease; Outbreak; Genetics; Gene; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Computer science; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008009288,0.0001766983,0.0002988424,0.0005092448,0.0001239816,0.0004352054,0.0002508692,0.0002108022,0.002277494],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003596496,0.000183031,0.0005148982,0.0003685986,0.00016461,0.0004427234,0.0004095558,0.000270989,0.0003797149],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009659805,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002293302,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1051875,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05808821,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999655,0.0001426531,0.00004365569,0.00008610235,0.00003319339,0.00003933618],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99835,0.0008391493,0.000326883,0.0001543246,0.000249728,0.00007988626],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004676428,0.00003006245,0.9283712,0.0001196274,0.0002719209,0.0008354463,0.0005151239,0.0556682,0.001595824,0.001398236,0.00122435,0.009502336],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003556915,0.000140734,0.9609426,0.00004844772,0.00007494569,0.0005942927,0.0005111225,0.03485731,0.0004983133,0.0004671387,0.001802073,0.00002743176],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.99233,0.0004561936,0.001129651,0.00007931638,0.000004406182,0.00001225804,0.004843811,0.00001037555,0.001134086],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9961501,0.0001637318,0.0002868757,0.0000142139,0.000002431981,0.000009930724,0.00275127,0.000002957285,0.0006185967],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1051875,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2091504,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08576284972380116,"score_gpt":0.4337840683220582,"score_spread":0.348021218598257,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}