{"id":"W3135967307","doi":"10.1016/j.physd.2021.132903","title":"Epidemic models with discrete state structures","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena","topic":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","field":"Medicine","cited_by":18,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"China Scholarship Council","keywords":"Basic reproduction number; Disease; Outbreak; Transmission (telecommunications); Infectivity; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Stability theory; Pandemic; Biology; Mathematics; Computer science; Virology; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Medicine; Population; Environmental health; Physics; Virus; Telecommunications","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002238327,0.001015346,0.001827695,0.001409338,0.0008404063,0.003802238,0.002343548,0.003579105,0.005964607],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009939787,0.001131134,0.001190488,0.001435739,0.002646223,0.005329414,0.002216613,0.003011875,0.0007876007],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001965329,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001210456,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004565347,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003124355,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988124,0.0005560921,0.0000583515,0.0001851382,0.0002212292,0.0001667607],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9930427,0.005124734,0.0006422877,0.0004389428,0.0004437256,0.0003076333],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006770578,0.0001045042,0.00109071,0.00009119657,0.00006728846,0.0002838326,0.0002310472,0.229008,0.0005481269,0.7625561,0.002162774,0.003788728],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005328838,0.0000244049,0.0002354135,0.00001275976,0.0000252672,0.00006672587,0.00004218458,0.7681845,0.00008430718,0.2302816,0.0009705465,0.00001904293],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2205082,0.003015276,0.7090271,0.01337422,0.0009683733,0.0001822969,0.001984795,0.0005250774,0.05041477],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9459136,0.001587015,0.01226265,0.0004734028,0.0004433591,0.0001668187,0.0003769095,0.00005466544,0.03872151],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.005964607,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01995361,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02652776549659944,"score_gpt":0.286104123129249,"score_spread":0.2595763576326496,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}