{"id":"W3136521303","doi":"","title":"Dynamic Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium with Information Production and Beliefs-Based Speculation","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations; Quest University Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Economics; Volatility (finance); Interim; Rational expectations; Microeconomics; Private information retrieval; Production (economics); Pareto principle; Econometrics; Mathematics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001740934,0.001087512,0.001661589,0.0006073172,0.0007410722,0.003634149,0.001510668,0.00283439,0.005445082],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007434912,0.0007290102,0.0009637535,0.0009852669,0.002362193,0.00342876,0.00173168,0.001816526,0.0005508828],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002138524,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001321957,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003284895,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002078822,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987885,0.0005569099,0.0000538089,0.0001865883,0.0001832378,0.0002309835],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9948567,0.003536966,0.000812682,0.000237292,0.0002644504,0.0002918135],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002093722,0.00009413657,0.0008133353,0.0001088873,0.00007141739,0.0007851289,0.0001943677,0.2545609,0.000988595,0.7362137,0.00162073,0.004339356],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001373217,0.00006856286,0.000356271,0.00002439388,0.00002810574,0.00008922673,0.00008367659,0.5817946,0.0001712767,0.4157813,0.001426816,0.00003852981],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.356322,0.002061575,0.5503027,0.006968513,0.0002664829,0.0001428057,0.001089827,0.0003945546,0.08245146],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.976842,0.0005935797,0.01191188,0.0001251278,0.00009452799,0.00008997269,0.0001402296,0.00002420848,0.01017852],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.005445082,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01821566,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006341484304112817,"score_gpt":0.1854883878693642,"score_spread":0.1791469035652514,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}