{"id":"W3139113521","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3194090","title":"Perceived FOMC: The Making of Hawks, Doves and Swingers","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of New Brunswick","funders":"","keywords":"Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008270523,0.00009583755,0.0002182708,0.00007745693,0.0002076878,0.00005718224,0.0002059599,0.0000530321,0.0001288648],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007455537,0.00007643834,0.00009332257,0.00007657205,0.0002665415,0.0001219678,0.00004333428,0.0005220947,0.00006302617],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001640238,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001070833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002025264,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002609456,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983457,0.00001478402,0.0003791953,0.0001373831,0.00002431918,0.001098609],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995435,0.00004190856,0.0002106395,0.0001416511,0.00002523174,0.00003700526],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001222041,0.00001117793,0.005064521,0.000004588277,0.00006664564,1.469755e-7,0.0005406272,0.00000159799,0.00001346681,0.9919241,0.0003060703,0.002054837],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003364677,0.0003051479,0.02437697,0.00001352291,0.00001049325,0.00008545565,0.001300035,0.0003986549,0.00001590679,0.9232311,0.04977724,0.0001489652],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8937604,0.007456185,0.002377196,0.01345774,0.0003888184,0.0001285242,0.00002095929,0.00001500729,0.08239518],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970315,0.0007597227,0.00005868404,0.0008916216,0.0004428722,0.000001452818,3.68937e-7,0.00001318859,0.0008006042],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1032711,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3117065,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01597784925669233,"score_gpt":0.2287365856316282,"score_spread":0.2127587363749359,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}