{"id":"W3143205662","doi":"","title":"The Trough Deepens","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"MPRA Paper","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Recession; Gross domestic product; Pessimism; Economics; Trough (economics); Real gross domestic product; Consumption (sociology); Economy; Geography; Monetary economics; Keynesian economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007739275,0.0003804274,0.0005009808,0.0008147986,0.002853583,0.006599208,0.0005585752,0.002014376,0.05598311],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00210647,0.0002025794,0.000415882,0.001055327,0.0009813518,0.003733437,0.002242905,0.004019224,0.01106542],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002280566,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002372011,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01242242,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01327483,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995189,0.00002804164,0.00001635652,0.00009726734,0.0001085954,0.0002309034],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990539,0.0000527234,0.0001273343,0.00006137489,0.0003533675,0.0003512834],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004312808,0.000128939,0.01522101,0.0003008952,0.00003758294,0.000554775,0.003919076,0.0001887983,0.002827189,0.06910801,0.6946756,0.2126069],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001748321,0.00007982552,0.01811,0.0001517046,0.00001129247,0.0001682177,0.004470167,0.0001270956,0.0003942178,0.008726159,0.967724,0.00001994069],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1518597,0.01120328,0.006312005,0.3228975,0.01955751,0.00009092651,0.00643939,0.002329665,0.47931],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6858884,0.005711322,0.001600313,0.04324413,0.004936208,0.00006460281,0.003130216,0.0009455698,0.2544792],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.05598311,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1872821,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01992705774651747,"score_gpt":0.2168574074018804,"score_spread":0.1969303496553629,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}