{"id":"W3147546532","doi":"10.3390/idr13020033","title":"Asymptomatic Cases, the Hidden Challenge in Predicting COVID-19 Caseload Increases","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Infectious Disease Reports","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":28,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Asymptomatic; Medicine; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Social distance; Masking (illustration); Pediatrics; Internal medicine; Virology; Disease; Outbreak; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch","metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001791206,0.0003506691,0.0006315761,0.0001007427,0.0004977325,0.00006804674,0.0001299227,0.0001228949,0.0002807345],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1313205,0.000251641,0.0002508338,0.0005641247,0.0001731959,0.0001177866,0.000414234,0.000336988,0.00001473445],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007031838,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009537606,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004378366,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006096718,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9962868,0.0008502241,0.001099026,0.0007424901,0.0004750284,0.0005464157],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.986562,0.01113697,0.000553498,0.001018857,0.0001571596,0.0005715804],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002450436,0.0009135628,0.9256619,0.0007310254,0.0001720584,0.06444301,0.0004471615,0.0001569612,0.000004936605,0.002032321,0.004207623,0.001204982],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001386461,0.000184687,0.3898176,0.0005977261,0.0008355296,0.0124353,0.001118787,0.0009564044,0.00002319371,0.5747042,0.01674098,0.0011992],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9877094,0.004148886,0.0002557057,0.003937817,0.0002727036,0.0008293996,0.00003641332,0.0006429241,0.002166778],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9964235,0.0003998268,0.00008691886,0.002276877,0.0002268335,0.0004348513,0.00001993521,0.00003745733,0.00009377749],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5726718,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999936,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1295308230779861,"score_gpt":0.3974808728953865,"score_spread":0.2679500498174003,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}