{"id":"W3149964952","doi":"10.1007/s00382-021-05801-0","title":"Links between atmospheric blocking and North American winter cold spells in two generations of Canadian Earth System Model large ensembles","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate Dynamics","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":24,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Blocking (statistics); Climatology; Cold front; Environmental science; Spell; Atmospheric sciences; Latitude; Meteorology; Geography; Geology; Mathematics; Geodesy; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001263273,0.0009070435,0.000574713,0.0007196188,0.001074133,0.0008815675,0.001182033,0.0004779364,0.000792125],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002360015,0.0003012613,0.000905469,0.001172321,0.0003306586,0.0004799654,0.0005722598,0.0005538287,0.0001106498],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005534545,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005878465,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9332275,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.933387,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996896,0.00004937865,0.00001657115,0.00009334076,0.00007507097,0.00007603952],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987096,0.0002528127,0.0001104112,0.0001464034,0.0006097787,0.0001711006],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000498508,0.0001735921,0.5190543,0.00008852418,0.001220325,0.0001354391,0.0001763481,0.4526861,0.001828512,0.000767089,0.006477346,0.01689395],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000995058,0.00005364031,0.3641264,0.00002894837,0.0003521784,0.00002751818,0.0001660545,0.6299505,0.001176289,0.0003497297,0.003572677,0.00009647009],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9928548,0.0002657729,0.0009690577,0.0001369884,0.00002813651,0.0000243413,0.004426029,0.0001575677,0.001137307],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9903516,0.0001292029,0.001057388,0.00004051414,0.00001298318,0.00001837863,0.007963832,0.00002478149,0.0004012389],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06677252,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1343315,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01540331328799863,"score_gpt":0.2300995175216301,"score_spread":0.2146962042336314,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}