{"id":"W3151451817","doi":"10.3386/w27084","title":"Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Interest rate; Econometrics; Economics; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.005248533,0.00033939,0.001137155,0.001414509,0.0001616518,0.0001816176,0.0009477412,0.0005325446,0.001237653],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007289856,0.0003972825,0.0004604085,0.0005297195,0.0003138364,0.0001967148,0.0004259839,0.0009384437,0.005891042],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003210666,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004747169,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02849673,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0005470837,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964113,0.00009614888,0.001662522,0.0008361623,0.0003411724,0.0006526732],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9969493,0.0005194884,0.0008604503,0.0004550734,0.001024041,0.0001916709],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004433175,0.00004108993,0.0003673536,0.0001185971,0.0001291797,0.000003084572,0.00008808738,0.0001382556,0.000008859573,0.8224002,0.176211,0.0004500129],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002059636,0.0001137211,0.0006440203,0.00004507848,0.000003057051,0.000006773479,0.0000238738,0.0001253182,0.00002894079,0.495501,0.5030817,0.0002205176],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01095511,0.001961938,0.000003277175,0.007822487,0.0008782381,0.0005287409,0.002388578,0.00002644862,0.9754352],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9707595,0.00538108,0.0000484424,0.0003896792,0.00361042,0.0001062265,0.0006891,0.00007660063,0.018939],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9598044,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998479,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4328728322886609,"score_gpt":0.497765778019302,"score_spread":0.06489294573064114,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}