{"id":"W3152655764","doi":"10.1007/s13555-021-00518-8","title":"Psoriasis Prevalence and Severity by Expert Elicitation","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Dermatology and Therapy","topic":"Psoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":57,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Hôtel-Dieu de Québec; Université Laval; BC Children's Hospital; McMaster University; SKiN Health; Probity Medical Research; University of British Columbia; Dermatrials Research; Ottawa Hospital; Lynde Centre for Dermatology; University of Alberta; University of Ottawa; Centre de Recherche Dermatologique du Québec Métropolitain; Innovaderm (Canada)","funders":"Janssen Canada; Novartis Pharmaceuticals Canada; LEO Pharma; AbbVie","keywords":"Psoriasis; Medicine; Population; Confidence interval; Credible interval; Expert elicitation; Estimation; Body surface area; Epidemiology; Disease; Demography; Statistics; Internal medicine; Dermatology; Environmental health; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02965943,0.0009211597,0.000706712,0.003006591,0.000639586,0.001387751,0.001053838,0.0008937457,0.005438976],"category_scores_gemma":[0.07683743,0.0004216509,0.001387109,0.001585675,0.000521339,0.0008810036,0.002588864,0.0008830169,0.000980288],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001869309,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001483124,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006912458,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009906918,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9761052,0.01474998,0.001654287,0.002374893,0.004398001,0.000717673],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9272904,0.05078856,0.005470872,0.004343242,0.01162189,0.0004849948],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.006083528,0.001163144,0.2966846,0.004801009,0.0009946015,0.001126103,0.01932948,0.05230789,0.02841623,0.008776269,0.02584677,0.5544703],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001046609,0.00287507,0.5861447,0.001993409,0.001394564,0.002419669,0.01269749,0.2474882,0.03333165,0.02548794,0.08447444,0.0006462513],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7199165,0.000943773,0.2262928,0.001056491,0.0001262635,0.006585026,0.008133691,0.0005645046,0.03638092],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8981033,0.0004781955,0.09068116,0.0004658935,0.00008457909,0.003255732,0.003962061,0.00005537625,0.002913661],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02965943,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1568559,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01412629644656663,"score_gpt":0.2487532194660437,"score_spread":0.234626923019477,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}