{"id":"W3152777688","doi":"","title":"Economic Policy Uncertainty and Real Output: Evidence from the G7 Countries","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Fiscal policy; Monetary policy; Impulse response; Economic impact analysis; Macroeconomics; Economic policy; Public economics; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001744878,0.0003414763,0.0006311063,0.002000323,0.0003598853,0.002003047,0.0004389834,0.0008447985,0.001462169],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008434545,0.0002222135,0.0007873346,0.003639087,0.001102205,0.001226819,0.001361517,0.0009760057,0.0004389623],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004885794,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003468369,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009888833,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005131608,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991981,0.0002828585,0.00007134357,0.0001263926,0.0001799756,0.0001412329],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.989037,0.004319476,0.004299141,0.0009692843,0.001027639,0.0003474179],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001065975,0.0001832832,0.901648,0.0005029333,0.001813644,0.0008331181,0.001332255,0.03146068,0.0007964728,0.02096402,0.009431952,0.02996771],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001748247,0.0003457627,0.9401482,0.0003823261,0.0007375965,0.000424353,0.002654854,0.01719761,0.003081147,0.01370813,0.02099475,0.0001504115],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9889728,0.002309021,0.0009009908,0.0007587874,0.00002713949,0.00001040427,0.002192374,0.00003043397,0.004798043],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9956137,0.001213507,0.0002026945,0.0001033255,0.00003433432,0.00000701417,0.002613211,0.0000142993,0.0001978462],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009888833,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01966256,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01693572980169588,"score_gpt":0.2447122849249153,"score_spread":0.2277765551232195,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}