{"id":"W3152823503","doi":"10.3855/jidc.13993","title":"Time Series Modelling and Simulating the Lockdown Scenarios of COVID-19 in Kurdistan Region of Iraq","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Journal of Infection in Developing Countries","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Government (linguistics); Quarter (Canadian coin); Geography; Time series; Series (stratigraphy); Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); China; Operations research; Meteorology; Regional science; Statistics; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Engineering; Mathematics; Geology; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007689749,0.0007872244,0.000477308,0.0005156558,0.0004879501,0.001083535,0.0008387839,0.001175655,0.001376664],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001836105,0.0002163327,0.0007902206,0.0005354494,0.0004530106,0.0006673361,0.0005821918,0.0009072648,0.000140278],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001016666,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006830912,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05376069,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02111429,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997136,0.0001207581,0.0000171194,0.00004019295,0.00003158821,0.00007663095],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991395,0.0004752651,0.0001127325,0.00003770031,0.0001623807,0.00007242274],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000447906,0.00004343656,0.006390005,0.0000230469,0.00002358179,0.0001805857,0.00004591518,0.9907461,0.0002616783,0.0007740735,0.0004302601,0.001036519],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006762041,0.0000291584,0.001774329,0.000004083105,0.00000729638,0.000009073203,0.0000884597,0.9975697,0.000107865,0.0002350439,0.0001621117,0.000006004323],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9865168,0.000217153,0.008011181,0.0006184002,0.00007534856,0.00004781241,0.00101241,0.00009948648,0.003401432],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9964927,0.0001129116,0.002075337,0.00002178111,0.000009901526,0.00003484181,0.000522054,0.000007168665,0.0007232884],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05376069,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1068955,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1375483310720181,"score_gpt":0.3801647793591606,"score_spread":0.2426164482871425,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}