{"id":"W3154122903","doi":"10.1016/j.idm.2021.04.002","title":"Yellow fever virus outbreak in Brazil under current and future climate","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Infectious Disease Modelling","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph; Université du Québec à Montréal; Public Health Agency of Canada","funders":"Public Health Agency of Canada","keywords":"Outbreak; Climate change; Representative Concentration Pathways; Climatology; Environmental science; Radiative forcing; Geography; Climate model; Incidence (geometry); Maximum temperature; Forcing (mathematics); Atmospheric sciences; Virology; Ecology; Mathematics; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00009215771,0.0002320945,0.0003250897,0.0001094533,0.000113562,0.00007550438,0.00004165386,0.00007567983,0.0001639772],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001526733,0.00022224,0.0001803867,0.0002154651,0.00003889768,0.0001222059,0.00006473158,0.0002594386,0.0000318903],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000916375,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002258347,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006579756,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008510212,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985115,0.00005751979,0.0002865545,0.0004955714,0.0002415801,0.0004073057],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989679,0.00003381953,0.00005644528,0.0003445073,0.0001151404,0.0004821863],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002423857,0.006127747,0.6049957,0.00296133,0.0005807303,0.003185666,0.0009956658,0.1981186,0.001234296,0.01737672,0.001088116,0.1609116],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.011526,0.0001214161,0.17201,0.0008363651,0.001514036,0.0001064881,0.0004026484,0.7701579,0.0001457898,0.009117143,0.03292666,0.001135548],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9636904,0.02429573,0.008847567,0.0008703498,0.0005577164,0.0003733462,0.00007454391,0.0001285618,0.001161789],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9918973,0.005808475,0.0000431283,0.001328488,0.0006771752,0.00004955254,0.00007815405,0.00004069615,0.00007704438],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5720393,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9062683,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01320252412049973,"score_gpt":0.2761789307583278,"score_spread":0.2629764066378281,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}