{"id":"W3154788947","doi":"10.3386/w28693","title":"Risky Business Cycles","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000296789,0.0003384413,0.000378767,0.0005993136,0.0003899756,0.001370464,0.0003567395,0.000717961,0.009125874],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003750794,0.0001913534,0.0003391585,0.000878457,0.0003900364,0.001099325,0.000570726,0.0008106244,0.001500102],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006154889,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004607996,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003206481,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002028597,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999833,0.00002948934,0.000008978025,0.00004596163,0.00004825133,0.00003436391],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991595,0.0002445282,0.0002858309,0.000103087,0.00008959857,0.0001175023],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001745676,0.0001510858,0.06303225,0.0001521189,0.0001257876,0.0006912235,0.0004560179,0.1400768,0.002625087,0.6492148,0.0300973,0.1132031],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005335328,0.00009532664,0.06352577,0.00009367903,0.00005437219,0.0007518371,0.0003444941,0.239016,0.0008532505,0.6049112,0.09024255,0.00005819104],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.6513141,0.005740242,0.1635891,0.007514674,0.0002944157,0.0002936916,0.006648112,0.0009000094,0.1637056],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9756314,0.002062807,0.002680315,0.000270237,0.0001057007,0.00005812984,0.001052099,0.00003513314,0.01810419],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.009125874,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03052914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2974275710537044,"score_gpt":0.4732802117894622,"score_spread":0.1758526407357578,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}