{"id":"W3155730768","doi":"10.1101/2021.04.14.21255385","title":"Evolution of case fatality rates in the second wave of coronavirus in England: effects of false positives, a Variant of Concern and vaccination","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Lethbridge","funders":"Royal Society; UK Research and Innovation","keywords":"Case fatality rate; Demography; Medicine; Outbreak; Mortality rate; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); False positive paradox; Vaccination; Epidemiology; Statistics; Virology; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008332185,0.000329271,0.0006039062,0.0009280055,0.0002975928,0.001924432,0.0007514675,0.001143944,0.002279302],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05873645,0.0004348234,0.0008661551,0.0006819181,0.000556363,0.001338383,0.0008440192,0.00120066,0.0004778074],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001762797,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006552206,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03881963,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02491499,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956191,0.002049428,0.0003542911,0.0009427522,0.0004896021,0.0005447896],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9461643,0.02706677,0.01704989,0.003465306,0.004617543,0.001636214],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007216401,0.00004237138,0.9881037,0.00004267862,0.0001908166,0.0002143055,0.0003280978,0.005261153,0.0005703614,0.0002031602,0.0007558242,0.003565863],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001137368,0.000325888,0.9889134,0.00001713155,0.00004119153,0.0002284212,0.0002958959,0.00954657,0.0002274825,0.0002150702,0.0001570637,0.0000204989],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9967523,0.0005173442,0.0007538956,0.0003491594,0.00001059427,0.00001299257,0.001096642,0.00003468986,0.0004723888],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989861,0.00005420169,0.0001498513,0.0000374394,0.000004876138,0.000008345753,0.000492995,0.000006795345,0.0002594122],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03881963,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07718736,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1482633905769572,"score_gpt":0.3965119210311174,"score_spread":0.2482485304541602,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}