{"id":"W3158286502","doi":"10.1093/rapstu/raab011","title":"Strategic Trading When Central Bank Intervention Is Predictable","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Review of Asset Pricing Studies","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Intervention (counseling); Central bank; Economics; Monetary economics; Psychological intervention; Financial economics; Monetary policy; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002039165,0.0004155972,0.0007975974,0.0002880402,0.000244632,0.002228735,0.0008111228,0.002163064,0.004441226],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01225014,0.0004151984,0.0004219261,0.0002697213,0.001400406,0.001840105,0.0007125485,0.00154716,0.0003953394],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007978551,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005201403,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001338784,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007821639,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991818,0.0003573385,0.00004057562,0.0001548542,0.00009300162,0.000172298],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.991674,0.004538645,0.002720609,0.0003611261,0.0003328331,0.0003727665],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001704482,0.0006439288,0.0376816,0.0006654913,0.0006830634,0.003692785,0.0006829763,0.38961,0.01476852,0.4842082,0.01119526,0.05446368],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004177183,0.0004004478,0.0134091,0.00006495964,0.0001650694,0.0005413735,0.0002614755,0.6066847,0.001810567,0.3740292,0.002137688,0.00007774563],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.863264,0.001630835,0.1040249,0.005616392,0.0002380331,0.00006911797,0.000235862,0.0003461443,0.02457478],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983608,0.0001465976,0.0004076857,0.00009137249,0.0000289935,0.000006978616,0.000009676106,0.000003958814,0.0009439204],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004441226,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01485741,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08179635839146618,"score_gpt":0.2887122813589769,"score_spread":0.2069159229675107,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}