{"id":"W3162211716","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu21-1826","title":"Limitations in the Use of Past Datasets for Future Hazard Analysis&amp;#160;","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Landslides and related hazards","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Magnitude (astronomy); Return period; Induced seismicity; Proxy (statistics); Prehistory; Geology; Maximum magnitude; Earthquake prediction; Debris flow; Seismology; Natural hazard; Historical record; History; Debris; Archaeology; Statistics; Paleontology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0628899,0.001295619,0.001206867,0.008267535,0.001962236,0.008884151,0.006818267,0.002422174,0.01559192],"category_scores_gemma":[0.2665648,0.001369154,0.001933391,0.01472226,0.001905663,0.01160086,0.007622984,0.003572367,0.01147249],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002901378,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004141244,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02527033,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01677621,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9517358,0.02397045,0.007621363,0.005754134,0.01010321,0.0008149695],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.7415951,0.1555926,0.01483498,0.05149703,0.03444047,0.002039806],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007207388,0.0003735474,0.1039574,0.009828013,0.001481126,0.000369737,0.002989343,0.01566583,0.002272861,0.07355405,0.3588935,0.4298938],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001342993,0.0001208947,0.0667664,0.005449965,0.0002803759,0.0008748009,0.003091889,0.01370568,0.002242028,0.04977228,0.8572515,0.0003097556],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"dataset","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.04973635,0.0148491,0.2271436,0.04238282,0.005468091,0.004204314,0.5131719,0.00354236,0.1395014],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.258372,0.01136989,0.3227321,0.01841136,0.00423661,0.01489926,0.3558525,0.001653988,0.01247225],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.0628899,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3325976,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08253789087190415,"score_gpt":0.2686668848074982,"score_spread":0.186128993935594,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}