{"id":"W3164366544","doi":"10.1007/s00440-023-01216-6","title":"Spread of infections in a heterogeneous moving population","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Probability Theory and Related Fields","topic":"Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Simons Foundation; John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation","keywords":"Poisson distribution; Mathematics; Percolation (cognitive psychology); Random walk; Population; Statistical physics; Mathematical finance; Work (physics); Percolation theory; Coupling (piping); Combinatorics; Applied mathematics; Statistics; Physics; Topology (electrical circuits); Biology; Demography; Engineering; Economics; Quantum mechanics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002189806,0.0005211634,0.001012463,0.002323096,0.0008322151,0.002227302,0.001996549,0.002098472,0.001877265],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009744259,0.0005388206,0.0009400017,0.001032797,0.00223388,0.002909723,0.001579049,0.001204153,0.0002503748],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001185271,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006884575,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004580486,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002274169,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992706,0.0002931557,0.0000392011,0.0001410975,0.0001317688,0.0001242354],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9932101,0.004537766,0.001143112,0.000252872,0.0003905877,0.000465511],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002302703,0.0002704032,0.01337849,0.0001610022,0.0002367123,0.001355962,0.0009101497,0.356175,0.00816793,0.6005941,0.00202498,0.01649489],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008852685,0.0001131021,0.003958043,0.00002257063,0.0000850951,0.0004277551,0.0002778714,0.7998065,0.0006078919,0.1939303,0.0006233013,0.00005902561],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8001267,0.0007260062,0.1920194,0.001690657,0.0000860806,0.00006520498,0.0001125079,0.00008364656,0.005089801],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9870718,0.0006612337,0.007361619,0.0001296202,0.00012882,0.0000409788,0.00008396868,0.00001486824,0.004507036],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004580486,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01158088,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02523273964877316,"score_gpt":0.297301399437691,"score_spread":0.2720686597889179,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}