{"id":"W3165197761","doi":"10.52214/cice.v23i1.8138","title":"Economic Crises and Returns to University Education in Middle-Income Countries: Stylized Facts and COVID-19 Projections","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Current Issues in Comparative Education","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Stylized fact; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; Demographic economics; Development economics; Geography; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001139018,0.0002325125,0.0003981734,0.0009828232,0.0003593211,0.001892917,0.0003463789,0.0006113427,0.002881144],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007293364,0.0001873583,0.0004689283,0.001947726,0.001091714,0.001865636,0.00123462,0.00131945,0.000194437],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008545145,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003778997,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007617471,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006244131,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997181,0.00008034024,0.00002786652,0.00004533038,0.00004590187,0.00008239831],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9965203,0.001720701,0.0011609,0.0002517226,0.0001979845,0.0001484727],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003291672,0.0001057132,0.4407932,0.0002658328,0.0001853424,0.001667964,0.001455679,0.137135,0.0006182837,0.3655146,0.009529747,0.04239953],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006702306,0.0001277476,0.4479375,0.0002054515,0.0001083106,0.0008803906,0.003804018,0.1664322,0.0009822571,0.3662915,0.0130584,0.0001052477],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9624852,0.00234426,0.008989268,0.004163466,0.00005757519,0.00002967659,0.002718528,0.00006519645,0.0191469],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9976929,0.000790187,0.0004377534,0.00006311637,0.00002257982,0.000009387622,0.0006104319,0.000004592815,0.0003690814],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007617471,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01514626,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1526154304708623,"score_gpt":0.4090880654292769,"score_spread":0.2564726349584145,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}