{"id":"W3165607306","doi":"10.20944/preprints202105.0549.v1","title":"What Could Explain the Lower COVID-19 Burden in Africa Despite Considerable Circulation of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus?","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Preprints.org","topic":"Immune responses and vaccinations","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":32,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Pandemic; Development economics; Government (linguistics); Public health; Sociocultural evolution; Population; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Geography; Economic growth; Political science; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Economics; Environmental health; Medicine; Disease","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001601663,0.0003418027,0.000544419,0.0001774393,0.0003607127,0.00006607898,0.0009006512,0.0007239418,0.00136566],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001744576,0.0002514977,0.0003768053,0.0003221351,0.0002880637,0.0001869666,0.002020571,0.001437913,0.0002761458],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002906127,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009100766,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002114367,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006337747,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9963361,0.001621308,0.000781769,0.000710385,0.0001170066,0.0004334546],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9964952,0.0008413531,0.0005522456,0.001870474,0.0002193884,0.00002132634],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003149914,0.0003647098,0.03246242,0.0001494412,0.0004548695,0.00001961166,0.01391056,0.003759462,0.9469171,0.0007687552,0.0005868712,0.0002911695],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002456917,0.00004017861,0.2455041,0.0008433236,0.0002638217,0.0001518304,0.007029397,0.0001855949,0.6307839,0.003756675,0.108184,0.0008002365],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":"bench_or_experimental","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9838765,0.005954444,0.0001421119,0.005673775,0.002377116,0.001114322,0.00003666044,0.00005088007,0.0007741573],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9961146,0.001159453,0.00001330963,0.0006838789,0.00002933163,0.000218359,0.00007037576,0.00003095608,0.001679741],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3161332,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999937,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1455140551327183,"score_gpt":0.3596061714445637,"score_spread":0.2140921163118455,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}