{"id":"W316865536","doi":"","title":"Bid-Ask Spread, Futures Market Sentiment and Exchange Rate Returns","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of economic cooperation and development","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Futures contract; Spot market; Economics; Financial economics; Exchange rate; Spot contract; Futures market; Foreign exchange market; Liberian dollar; Ask price; Currency; Index (typography); Bid price; Forward market; Market sentiment; Monetary economics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006480959,0.0003274734,0.0002839911,0.0007603108,0.0001296543,0.000997046,0.0001318979,0.0003432592,0.00206372],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004153172,0.0001188578,0.0002538767,0.0007679237,0.0001702613,0.0008777572,0.0002406493,0.000397046,0.0004602864],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002380385,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001522868,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001614774,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001247193,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997979,0.00006123916,0.00001959564,0.00002642302,0.00007095647,0.00002405825],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997753,0.000918126,0.0008711498,0.00007306443,0.0002347159,0.0001501027],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004986229,0.0002186308,0.9659088,0.00006157879,0.0001788733,0.0003723876,0.0002557884,0.007323609,0.00464605,0.002806396,0.0004788971,0.01725044],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000009403527,0.00011663,0.975222,0.000008563193,0.00004848803,0.0001785876,0.0001610565,0.02162967,0.0008235469,0.001210156,0.0005769304,0.00001493205],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9952721,0.0002123658,0.001072492,0.00005277115,0.000006463446,0.000009074086,0.0002941212,0.00001195016,0.003068729],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983857,0.000137283,0.0002803782,0.000007534509,0.00001597838,0.000004791743,0.0003614872,0.000003655214,0.0008032033],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00206372,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.006903827,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02503163838777653,"score_gpt":0.2304703621131552,"score_spread":0.2054387237253786,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}