{"id":"W3170624045","doi":"10.5194/cp-17-2427-2021","title":"Reduced El Niño variability in the mid-Pliocene according to the PlioMIP2 ensemble","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Climate of the past","topic":"Geology and Paleoclimatology Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council; Netherlands Earth System Science Centre; Natural Environment Research Council; Sight Research UK","keywords":"Climatology; Sea surface temperature; Empirical orthogonal functions; Pacific decadal oscillation; Tropical Atlantic; Climate model; Geology; Amplitude; Common spatial pattern; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Environmental science; Climate change; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006316217,0.0007159615,0.0003794573,0.0003113333,0.0002442484,0.0007229956,0.0006019289,0.000385176,0.001340221],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001176851,0.0002773207,0.0006083974,0.0004911122,0.000191281,0.0006640684,0.0005700621,0.0005392858,0.0002056373],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005957286,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004687426,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0211421,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01743283,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998422,0.00004061673,0.000008542372,0.00006048938,0.00002259129,0.00002541982],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997187,0.00006618432,0.00003990491,0.00005972969,0.00007075172,0.00004464639],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004483845,0.0001216062,0.3072966,0.0001065731,0.0009284241,0.0003842805,0.0001345504,0.6668183,0.005711006,0.0007620385,0.004481515,0.01280668],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002074332,0.0001078547,0.2124629,0.00002459939,0.0001749892,0.0000973348,0.0001102132,0.7801763,0.002930067,0.0006096446,0.003053548,0.00004514831],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9926773,0.0001493937,0.001477286,0.0002056732,0.00002622968,0.00001007825,0.003496929,0.0002288942,0.001728092],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.994338,0.00006415319,0.0006361522,0.0000322417,0.00001347995,0.00001624572,0.00462815,0.00004254066,0.0002290092],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0211421,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04203808,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02767810582693509,"score_gpt":0.2783289159908778,"score_spread":0.2506508101639427,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}