{"id":"W3172714892","doi":"10.3390/jrfm14060269","title":"Construction Cash Flow Risk Index","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of risk and financial management","topic":"Construction Project Management and Performance","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":16,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"American University of Sharjah","keywords":"Cash flow; Business; Actuarial science; Forecast period; Cash flow forecasting; Risk analysis (engineering); Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002079784,0.0001199069,0.0002796573,0.0004741508,0.0002910698,0.0002552085,0.0002269104,0.00005463331,0.0003103943],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007274496,0.00009359574,0.000148069,0.0008382145,0.00009878939,0.0004439707,0.0001916782,0.0002872693,0.00003248084],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002751091,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005773962,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001245078,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0000661736,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978722,0.00015935,0.0007557457,0.0002345615,0.0008105848,0.0001675425],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983411,0.0001622689,0.0007680582,0.0002431238,0.0004028088,0.00008263844],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006546736,0.00002116052,0.1832382,0.000006781215,0.00001966112,0.00007851666,0.0001942589,0.0002467317,0.000001084579,0.003158809,0.00315501,0.8098143],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00114946,0.00007302716,0.3715296,0.00003216251,0.0001139538,0.0001991428,0.001775682,0.001387615,0.00003663223,0.0460944,0.5774543,0.0001539809],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7353542,0.0008763017,0.2516546,0.0002446752,0.003433806,0.0001306062,0.00001935463,0.00001394145,0.008272561],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9737663,0.009183719,0.015374,0.0001196924,0.000449863,0.000001932694,8.53867e-7,0.000006567705,0.001097023],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8096604,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3816723,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01997480193403795,"score_gpt":0.2814477054697721,"score_spread":0.2614729035357342,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}