{"id":"W3176441806","doi":"10.1111/ddi.13366","title":"A genus at risk: Predicted current and future distribution of all three <i>Lagopus</i> species reveal sensitivity to climate change and efficacy of protected areas","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Diversity and Distributions","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":33,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada; University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Lagopus; Habitat; Ecology; Climate change; Willow; Range (aeronautics); Geography; Species distribution; Tundra; Calluna; Biology; Ecosystem; Arctic","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000183255,0.0001571625,0.0002413239,0.0000195571,0.000838541,0.00001875042,0.00005986417,0.00009103746,0.000473054],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001257968,0.0001587196,0.00006079501,0.0003237377,0.0003908265,0.0001362008,0.001779191,0.0001228857,0.000007138942],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002039664,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00000672788,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003548175,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007839032,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988543,0.00009436176,0.0001849493,0.0003494947,0.0002483682,0.0002685049],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993159,0.00005969129,0.0001395655,0.0001853711,0.00007666537,0.0002228629],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002303432,0.0004029414,0.9868088,0.0001268608,0.0000402271,0.00001616183,0.001218488,0.000001677097,0.003431932,0.001543295,0.001896114,0.004283141],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00073517,0.00007003979,0.9856616,0.00003046822,0.0001245345,0.0000210512,0.0005772487,0.00004254083,0.001532431,0.00004008035,0.01101348,0.0001513874],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9646229,0.0003192416,0.0003523486,0.0006351311,0.00008112165,0.0003951344,0.03343587,0.00002968534,0.0001286278],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9956914,0.001697156,0.00002380015,0.00002624667,0.00003933756,0.000009612835,0.002500958,0.000003439349,0.000008108913],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0310685,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6472396,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03557881344852004,"score_gpt":0.2304788191492596,"score_spread":0.1949000057007395,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}