{"id":"W3178464303","doi":"10.3390/vaccines9070735","title":"Understanding Soaring Coronavirus Cases and the Effect of Contagion Policies in the UK","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Vaccines","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Quarter (Canadian coin); Transmission (telecommunications); Transmission rate; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Vaccination; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Demography; Virology; Demographic economics; Medicine; Economics; Computer science; History; Disease; Telecommunications; Sociology; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001014832,0.000394548,0.0005176855,0.0008077534,0.0002496156,0.001787982,0.0007009225,0.001367228,0.005563178],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01299784,0.00035061,0.0005777447,0.0004744792,0.0007217178,0.001765104,0.0009982864,0.0008870922,0.0003430306],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002650901,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008157903,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1766426,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.07797916,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994398,0.0002244398,0.00004433341,0.00009215114,0.000035722,0.0001635791],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9947766,0.003613059,0.0008741465,0.000226154,0.0002560838,0.0002540314],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001133005,0.0004895509,0.3797318,0.0003903898,0.0003622779,0.002479334,0.002305401,0.5448546,0.001769378,0.0375092,0.004920371,0.02405479],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002085793,0.0007717556,0.3028941,0.0002735092,0.0003061026,0.0003466308,0.004519335,0.659853,0.0005014025,0.0259846,0.004233878,0.0001071379],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9904384,0.0006986633,0.001167339,0.002050991,0.00003297394,0.00002491571,0.0006463203,0.00001836822,0.004922112],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9987543,0.0003018914,0.0001410918,0.00007203504,0.00001009436,0.000007901552,0.0001307882,0.000003276541,0.0005785102],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1766426,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.351229,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4561972647341878,"score_gpt":0.4481143937739217,"score_spread":0.008082870960266109,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}