{"id":"W3182410340","doi":"10.1073/pnas.2102007118","title":"Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences","topic":"Geology and Paleoclimatology Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":226,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Chicoutimi","funders":"Natural Environment Research Council; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University; Riksbankens Jubileumsfond; National Natural Science Foundation of China; Sight Research UK; Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study; Vetenskapsrådet; Belmont Forum","keywords":"Holocene; Aridification; Climate change; Monsoon; Climatology; Precipitation; East Asian Monsoon; Chronology; Physical geography; Proxy (statistics); Speleothem; Paleoclimatology; Plateau (mathematics); Period (music); Stalagmite; Westerlies; Geography; Geology; Oceanography; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002845771,0.0002026207,0.0001165908,0.0005332248,0.0003065972,0.0004311964,0.0001600688,0.0001608239,0.001222561],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004529477,0.00007999054,0.0001413414,0.001070776,0.0002156478,0.0003423494,0.0003719878,0.0002280461,0.0001584516],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003620792,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00044936,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0142525,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03359969,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999152,0.0000076941,0.00001335465,0.00002676357,0.00001796912,0.00001895388],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996682,0.00002170857,0.0001617139,0.0000235627,0.00007126124,0.00005351879],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005793997,0.00001823853,0.9741536,0.00008139379,0.0001138621,0.0001906161,0.0003134408,0.0004030217,0.004643457,0.0001631605,0.0006297932,0.01923148],"study_design_scores_gemma":[9.585672e-7,0.000008115521,0.998605,0.000004213768,0.00001372967,0.00007394586,0.00008828201,0.0001668797,0.0001791077,0.00002296488,0.0008345752,0.000002236516],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9953417,0.0007604584,0.0003669447,0.0001373026,0.0000285125,0.000004913312,0.001753995,0.00003778647,0.001568508],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9975175,0.0003549636,0.0001854382,0.00005111454,0.00003041644,0.000004656338,0.001496284,0.00000401953,0.0003556771],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0142525,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02833903,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04533477591642165,"score_gpt":0.3036725596385432,"score_spread":0.2583377837221215,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}