{"id":"W3186195094","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101035","title":"The impact of lockdown timing on COVID-19 transmission across US counties","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"EClinicalMedicine","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":58,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"St. Paul's Hospital; University of British Columbia; National Research Council Canada; University of Saskatchewan; University of Victoria","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canada Research Chairs; Western Canada Research Grid; Compute Canada","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Medicine; Demography; Population; Cumulative incidence; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Statistics; Environmental health; Disease; Cohort","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004118705,0.00024136,0.0008896007,0.00002074496,0.0004337861,0.00001483047,0.0003114245,0.0001732546,0.0004875718],"category_scores_gemma":[0.07939521,0.0001159733,0.0004225267,0.0002784007,0.0006695651,0.00002779199,0.0001622802,0.0004546164,0.00002233649],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001848723,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002879302,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002490052,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005417828,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971361,0.000410906,0.001146485,0.0003989757,0.0004534975,0.000454021],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9559463,0.04260202,0.0003633003,0.0006305072,0.0001763785,0.0002814827],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003412711,0.002715944,0.2399737,0.001599411,0.001952828,0.0005654066,0.008857388,0.00242297,0.00159593,0.01714304,0.6349059,0.08485475],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00894131,0.004860297,0.2766565,0.001336146,0.0004136173,0.00006706825,0.003283485,0.004232294,0.000976015,0.3689454,0.3293228,0.0009650268],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9167382,0.003918267,0.01345565,0.06218295,0.0004568515,0.0005592785,0.00006151472,0.000203642,0.002423722],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9902682,0.002019012,0.001041638,0.005145711,0.0003496904,0.00001952262,0.000009031377,0.00002415853,0.001123068],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3518023,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9283594,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4418212496300371,"score_gpt":0.579242140737689,"score_spread":0.1374208911076519,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}