{"id":"W3189005605","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4114454","title":"Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Gender Politics and Representation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Presidential system; Political science; Fertility; Politics; Demography; Law; Sociology; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002719005,0.00006724674,0.0002902774,0.00073359,0.00131916,0.002200553,0.0002789701,0.0006883138,0.02087607],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01456933,0.0001714726,0.0002477726,0.001013874,0.0009547104,0.0007702576,0.0008408044,0.0008800561,0.001467146],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000691358,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007092161,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006066517,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01444998,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988932,0.0005531365,0.00002500314,0.00007116186,0.0000864968,0.0003711214],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9864129,0.00805751,0.002451267,0.0004630491,0.0005889679,0.002026337],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001681502,0.000700097,0.8219551,0.0001044113,0.000201106,0.0004098936,0.007881363,0.002153807,0.0006843526,0.1051239,0.01109858,0.04800588],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005713477,0.0002615687,0.9480271,0.00004506643,0.00008398236,0.0002085967,0.008773015,0.001610348,0.0002943287,0.02695301,0.01366025,0.00002562221],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9499896,0.0009160767,0.0004256165,0.004506432,0.00008256327,0.000008119458,0.0003239036,0.00001226468,0.04373558],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9953714,0.0001589414,0.00002322664,0.0000870649,0.00007846336,0.000002353473,0.00005727274,0.000004284206,0.004217053],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02087607,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06983745,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01740349539852966,"score_gpt":0.3096468212488601,"score_spread":0.2922433258503304,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}