{"id":"W3192646710","doi":"10.1080/13504851.2021.1961116","title":"A coronavirus outbreak and sector stock returns: a tale from the first ten weeks of 2020","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Applied Economics Letters","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Outbreak; Stock (firearms); Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Economics; Business; Economic sector; Monetary economics; Demographic economics; Economy; Geography; Biology; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009082279,0.0003061132,0.0002130092,0.000923808,0.0002914509,0.001515693,0.0001886414,0.000605918,0.001473485],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002964339,0.00009833354,0.0003264871,0.0009125833,0.0003654306,0.0011955,0.0008795241,0.000812899,0.0003497669],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006965296,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00040626,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01507375,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01893752,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997678,0.00003091346,0.0000148805,0.00002564141,0.00006493036,0.00009570723],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998042,0.0002448288,0.000945958,0.00006729944,0.0004112602,0.000288592],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002086301,0.00006428485,0.9669335,0.00006119357,0.0001298295,0.0004063126,0.0003637223,0.001022193,0.000545301,0.0009455641,0.005207129,0.02411232],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002771017,0.0001262217,0.9933739,0.00007472216,0.00003225528,0.00009698108,0.0009818516,0.0006552779,0.0002775717,0.0003570754,0.004008461,0.00001294716],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9835445,0.004265222,0.000277539,0.004222507,0.000158212,0.00001068071,0.001929182,0.00001636463,0.005575773],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9959064,0.001620193,0.0000730582,0.0004187575,0.000130337,0.000003354855,0.001168429,0.000004000398,0.0006754711],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01507375,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02997202,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03857829001136406,"score_gpt":0.2263888480275546,"score_spread":0.1878105580161906,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}