{"id":"W3193941014","doi":"10.3390/agriculture11080799","title":"Global Wheat Market Dynamics: What Is the Role of the EU and the Black Sea Wheat Exporters?","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Agriculture","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Horizon 2020 Framework Programme; European Commission","keywords":"Cointegration; Black sea; Economics; Futures contract; Price formation; Error correction model; Production (economics); International economics; World market; International trade; Agricultural economics; Monetary economics; Financial economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008015357,0.0001537922,0.0002832008,0.0005408618,0.0002821113,0.002349104,0.0001703101,0.000574896,0.00282315],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001410258,0.00006863931,0.0001875399,0.0006922081,0.0005455072,0.002946251,0.000576811,0.0004581587,0.0001695496],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004153156,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000435348,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005500002,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005513589,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998684,0.00003817752,0.000004360016,0.00002683768,0.00002070334,0.00004142898],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994216,0.0001790857,0.0002123041,0.00002050119,0.00007063639,0.000095916],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004000034,0.0001609273,0.7022066,0.0001932323,0.0002411302,0.0009945895,0.004083246,0.002599014,0.002242125,0.1304653,0.005350186,0.1510636],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004129186,0.0001761078,0.9088774,0.0003014854,0.0001485656,0.0004012538,0.01895,0.008960375,0.00114304,0.02496088,0.03599949,0.00004008607],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9702519,0.0045733,0.0005445504,0.008433501,0.00004810718,0.000003861436,0.0001033123,0.000006221901,0.01603533],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9971968,0.001606676,0.00007910532,0.0002684112,0.00003421064,0.000001118499,0.00003854602,0.000003048954,0.0007719503],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005500002,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01093596,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004813453372746335,"score_gpt":0.1738556395626851,"score_spread":0.1690421861899388,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}