{"id":"W3194928079","doi":"10.3390/agriculture11080799","title":"Global Wheat Market Dynamics: What Is the Role of the EU and the Black Sea Wheat Exporters?","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"MDPI (MDPI AG)","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Horizon 2020 Framework Programme","keywords":"Cointegration; Black sea; Futures contract; Economics; Error correction model; Price formation; International trade; World market; Agricultural economics; International economics; Monetary economics; Financial economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008211338,0.0001577392,0.000290876,0.000542418,0.0002844151,0.002415007,0.0001743328,0.0006022218,0.002910426],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001448677,0.00007239724,0.0001883002,0.0006996865,0.000540578,0.002985382,0.0005982447,0.0004874671,0.0001852703],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004188394,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004497131,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005286186,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005282749,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998629,0.00003916109,0.000004795973,0.00002840085,0.00002285309,0.00004187],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993995,0.0001761329,0.0002253756,0.0000207266,0.00007743882,0.0001007806],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004326724,0.0001716986,0.6756219,0.0002207701,0.0002632485,0.001070665,0.004458056,0.002715561,0.002587154,0.138717,0.006211146,0.1675303],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004278765,0.0001851183,0.9030022,0.0003334479,0.0001515382,0.0004297967,0.01911271,0.009398649,0.001202579,0.02651435,0.039583,0.00004373613],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9674494,0.004929939,0.0006016999,0.009474175,0.00005611852,0.000004242539,0.000117135,0.000006922027,0.01736019],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.996985,0.001714867,0.00008882042,0.0002874784,0.00003863395,0.000001234266,0.00004151393,0.000003425775,0.0008389259],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005286186,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01051086,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007759982201511056,"score_gpt":0.192204045524586,"score_spread":0.184444063323075,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}