{"id":"W3199546862","doi":"","title":"Does God Practice a Random Walk? The ‘Financial Physics’ of a Nineteenth-Century Forerunner, Jules Regnault","year":2001,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic Theory and Institutions","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université TÉLUQ","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Anticipation (artificial intelligence); Random walk; Economics; Term (time); Value (mathematics); Financial economics; Econometrics; Positive economics; Finance; Mathematics; Physics; Statistics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001974888,0.0002339636,0.0004071,0.0006320339,0.001448424,0.002151656,0.0004292819,0.001730572,0.005168601],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01391899,0.0001828761,0.0003267562,0.0006755653,0.006027243,0.005813334,0.0008770198,0.001814028,0.001104811],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001115933,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000563152,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003738418,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002739178,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994023,0.0003327232,0.00001471433,0.0001114076,0.00007033905,0.00006856034],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9963061,0.002574184,0.0004084756,0.0002987431,0.0002135172,0.0001990746],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002754803,0.00001746776,0.001421725,0.00002902516,0.00001769374,0.0001311177,0.0009173728,0.001250268,0.00006819712,0.9747552,0.01064186,0.01072254],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001150621,0.00001200352,0.001021278,0.00003401122,0.000005310795,0.00009646668,0.0002749016,0.002871872,0.00006591725,0.9646614,0.0309252,0.00002012286],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2404972,0.03356744,0.1289394,0.4498369,0.003334166,0.00003558332,0.0003358665,0.0003173245,0.1431362],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9490389,0.008394086,0.00771226,0.009760542,0.001841993,0.00003169552,0.0000566457,0.0001066,0.02305731],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.005168601,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01729065,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009430877177986064,"score_gpt":0.2101135395937438,"score_spread":0.2006826624157577,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}