{"id":"W3202989975","doi":"10.1371/journal.pone.0258205","title":"Impact of the stringency of lockdown measures on covid-19: A theoretical model of a pandemic","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PLoS ONE","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":57,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"","keywords":"Demography; Pandemic; Logistic regression; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Public health; Regression analysis; Population; Geography; Mortality rate; Medicine; Statistics; Mathematics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008146715,0.0001498569,0.0007465447,0.00003430054,0.00004515842,0.000002056816,0.0002748145,0.0001058479,0.0001895735],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04569808,0.00008399546,0.0003241822,0.0002221688,0.0004155674,0.00001443102,0.0002459142,0.000198562,0.000001393683],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001370251,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003357742,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005940711,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002545703,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981629,0.0003127819,0.0005771986,0.0002167942,0.0005262835,0.0002040547],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9945127,0.00428827,0.0003082042,0.0005563558,0.0002410517,0.00009344365],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005529037,0.008698874,0.335564,0.002316818,0.002505082,0.00000393569,0.00234913,0.005652778,0.1591852,0.4821531,0.0006639382,0.0003543556],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007763799,0.0004613081,0.01433146,0.0004979111,0.0005248543,0.000001069069,0.000089503,0.01104764,0.04192211,0.9301644,0.00000254331,0.0001807998],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9946654,0.0002570262,0.003108931,0.0007665716,0.000006846442,0.0002747822,0.00009833994,0.00002856883,0.0007934922],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9976497,0.0001627392,0.001911849,0.0001926021,0.00001537202,0.00001574718,7.62903e-7,0.00001179132,0.00003939972],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4480114,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9623404,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4848618773725086,"score_gpt":0.4316762664232278,"score_spread":0.05318561094928081,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}