{"id":"W3204580263","doi":"10.3386/w26561","title":"Financial Risk Capacity","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Insurance and Financial Risk Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Finance; Financial risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005844756,0.0002799745,0.0008794259,0.00116705,0.0001775198,0.0001094547,0.001020693,0.0005794201,0.0005380922],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001236343,0.0003597402,0.0003897384,0.000209088,0.0002576177,0.0001979931,0.0008454288,0.001601271,0.004617858],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001175523,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005594847,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004463023,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000202511,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968054,0.00009010017,0.001277885,0.0009816333,0.000268625,0.0005763911],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974964,0.0003134875,0.000982411,0.0007225731,0.0004156453,0.0000694311],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004650981,0.00009740853,0.02524301,0.0001633464,0.00007845213,9.768279e-7,0.0001427675,0.01036411,0.000001528259,0.9459821,0.01746684,0.0004129327],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004684262,0.00006925775,0.02883457,0.00005153669,0.000004566845,4.567263e-7,0.00001166213,0.003737411,0.00005694522,0.9416652,0.02478277,0.0003172368],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.326147,0.001862144,0.0005359912,0.0006040601,0.00283576,0.00137277,0.002537071,0.00003356578,0.6640717],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9936539,0.001722036,0.0006154088,0.00006300895,0.0008470915,0.0001451908,0.0001924084,0.00004236974,0.002718592],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6675069,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998854,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.290371893725542,"score_gpt":0.4149614775608135,"score_spread":0.1245895838352715,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}