{"id":"W3207022422","doi":"10.1177/00323217211046329","title":"Policy Preferences Influence Vote Choice When A New Party Emerges: Evidence from the 2017 French Presidential Election","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Political Studies","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Fonds de Recherche du Québec-Société et Culture","keywords":"Victory; Instant-runoff voting; Political science; Presidential election; Voting; Group voting ticket; Presidential system; Economics; Law and economics; Law; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003973232,0.0001739499,0.0005014689,0.001017318,0.001279278,0.001979625,0.0003875901,0.001015215,0.01094367],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0115702,0.0001516839,0.0004242692,0.001032806,0.0008385605,0.0008866146,0.0007717005,0.0008937185,0.00148945],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001080413,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004638406,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03710817,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05709627,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976234,0.001360937,0.00008642754,0.0002669572,0.0002268336,0.0004354332],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9840717,0.009460218,0.003763984,0.0007049741,0.00107769,0.0009214029],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001236959,0.0003799901,0.9600274,0.00009708399,0.0002592313,0.0002374792,0.005218759,0.0004622574,0.0006525486,0.004003569,0.003017343,0.02440747],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004035288,0.000144324,0.9899739,0.00002469862,0.00005899784,0.00003898378,0.003504312,0.0004669413,0.0001622366,0.0008085642,0.004760031,0.00001671186],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9926391,0.000272986,0.0001304494,0.0009868223,0.00001445695,0.000006607644,0.0003059433,0.000004221144,0.005639402],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998512,0.0001002101,0.00003841164,0.00008616859,0.00002324537,0.000005167005,0.0002605821,0.000003150506,0.0009710432],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03710817,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07378435,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1732228759414282,"score_gpt":0.4396050309344859,"score_spread":0.2663821549930578,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}