{"id":"W3210175886","doi":"10.1111/gcb.15927","title":"Warming increased bark beetle‐induced tree mortality by 30% during an extreme drought in California","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":78,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"Los Alamos National Laboratory; North Carolina State University","keywords":"Bark beetle; Mountain pine beetle; Voltinism; Dendroctonus; Overwintering; Climate change; Biology; Bark (sound); Ecology; Population; Global warming; Larva; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002312417,0.0001729873,0.0002153687,0.00002116992,0.0001103152,0.00001011165,0.0002312975,0.0002001985,0.002782222],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000449068,0.0001727139,0.00004447538,0.0002915553,0.0001222991,0.0001257821,0.0003608344,0.0001131194,0.0003989401],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000387903,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001192405,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008013908,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02444909,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998428,0.0002271553,0.0002236351,0.0005253641,0.00009451721,0.0005013385],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999487,0.00001588369,0.0000624049,0.0003010329,0.000005957311,0.0001277612],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003429967,0.0002483932,0.9653932,0.00001228013,0.00002212996,0.0002590627,0.0001230574,0.000001888408,0.03061629,0.0002763582,0.0005364125,0.002476621],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006096841,0.00008587827,0.9944159,0.000005894411,0.00001441412,0.00002358554,0.00009985184,0.0001277728,0.0008725013,0.0008816136,0.002652553,0.000210283],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9948113,0.0001341298,0.00001743405,0.0001203746,0.0002376671,0.0002079884,0.0001329588,0.00004844329,0.00428972],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9986384,0.00003156696,0.00009639654,0.000831131,0.00008303272,0.00007640409,0.0001861085,0.000007393933,0.00004957744],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02974379,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9985918,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04237461930114179,"score_gpt":0.2706601813738336,"score_spread":0.2282855620726918,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}