{"id":"W3212861073","doi":"10.3389/feart.2021.769107","title":"A Song of Neither Ice nor Fire: Temperature Extremes had No Impact on Violent Conflict Among European Societies During the 2nd Millennium CE","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Earth Science","topic":"Tree-ring climate responses","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"British Columbia Knowledge Development Fund; Simon Fraser University; Max-Planck-Gesellschaft; Canada Research Chairs","keywords":"Little ice age; Climate change; Climatology; Covariate; Geography; Armed conflict; Physical geography; History; Demography; Political science; Glacier; Geology; Econometrics; Sociology; Law; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001567486,0.0001947619,0.0002974342,0.0002103387,0.0003593476,0.001003191,0.0002528348,0.0003467556,0.002183466],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00621785,0.0001156069,0.0002018985,0.000295506,0.0006245515,0.0005486986,0.0006479581,0.0005271371,0.0001484599],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002850227,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001879414,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003714324,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004001585,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996661,0.0001405763,0.00001776212,0.00009375118,0.00002922452,0.00005261683],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981979,0.0009065105,0.0003407829,0.0001751576,0.0001384937,0.0002411524],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001507744,0.00009188888,0.9455214,0.00007983208,0.0005451752,0.0002307129,0.00175571,0.007542832,0.00836928,0.003880783,0.001113539,0.02936113],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001038673,0.00007031699,0.9950268,0.00001294251,0.00004008143,0.00005606357,0.000432146,0.002519233,0.0003753685,0.0005398999,0.0009066212,0.00001028833],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9979032,0.0001323253,0.0002995598,0.0001895104,0.00001436662,0.000001078144,0.0001122009,0.00000633922,0.00134133],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9997041,0.00003223369,0.00004710666,0.0000283414,0.000009181942,7.563069e-7,0.00005516952,0.000004079482,0.0001190579],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003714324,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.008289754,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008441281435818855,"score_gpt":0.2144002297021059,"score_spread":0.2059589482662871,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}