{"id":"W3212861073","doi":"10.3389/feart.2021.769107","title":"A Song of Neither Ice nor Fire: Temperature Extremes had No Impact on Violent Conflict Among European Societies During the 2nd Millennium CE","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Earth Science","topic":"Tree-ring climate responses","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"British Columbia Knowledge Development Fund; Simon Fraser University; Max-Planck-Gesellschaft; Canada Research Chairs","keywords":"Little ice age; Climate change; Climatology; Covariate; Geography; Armed conflict; Physical geography; History; Demography; Political science; Glacier; Geology; Econometrics; Sociology; Law; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008945774,0.0002396197,0.0002755234,0.0001334139,0.0004535264,0.0002264866,0.0007100006,0.00005975261,0.0003927016],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002514993,0.0001542189,0.0001317735,0.000932303,0.001103102,0.0004154767,0.00007035625,0.0003408218,0.00005329115],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002014272,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002337681,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004016063,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003838215,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975677,0.0002829675,0.0002994572,0.0005297161,0.0006873753,0.0006328295],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989164,0.0001667697,0.0001485844,0.0004973292,0.0001193573,0.0001515964],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001746514,0.00003057513,0.9818133,0.000037576,0.00001862452,0.00006478964,0.001463119,0.005893341,0.004449403,0.000001599613,0.002136132,0.003916925],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002728855,0.0001172358,0.9867376,0.0001779984,0.000007038369,0.00001302367,0.001724806,0.003938876,0.004942646,0.00000467857,0.001865562,0.0001976144],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9902045,0.003808937,0.000007042909,0.0001604347,0.0008257492,0.0001756692,0.00009244159,0.000035942,0.00468926],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9959648,0.0009417673,0.0009675981,0.0001462795,0.00008542761,0.000001129292,0.000006776617,0.000009266018,0.00187698],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005760252,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6288866,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008441281435818855,"score_gpt":0.2144002297021059,"score_spread":0.2059589482662871,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}