{"id":"W3213800655","doi":"10.1111/gcb.16006","title":"Global increase in wildfire risk due to climate‐driven declines in fuel moisture","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":320,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta; Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"NSW Department of Planning,Industry and Environment","keywords":"Environmental science; Biome; Climate change; Vegetation (pathology); Productivity; Global warming; Water content; Global change; Fire regime; Climatology; Moisture; Atmospheric sciences; Disturbance (geology); Physical geography; Ecosystem; Ecology; Geography; Meteorology; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003010486,0.0001904625,0.0001195162,0.0006372186,0.0002264495,0.0006024044,0.0001958767,0.0002365094,0.001370659],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001104185,0.00007289054,0.0003318147,0.0009002326,0.0003681735,0.0003538325,0.0003798358,0.0003604256,0.0001312556],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007499651,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003556844,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0846184,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1650424,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998879,0.00001310175,0.000006393032,0.00003273274,0.00003319837,0.00002657146],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996209,0.000050478,0.0001874782,0.00003531128,0.00006575108,0.00004003452],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004562231,0.000008331465,0.9848775,0.00003322777,0.0001336336,0.000055212,0.00006426786,0.002431872,0.001623323,0.0002968008,0.000473656,0.009956755],"study_design_scores_gemma":[8.487294e-7,0.000008119749,0.9982079,0.000004764994,0.00001686747,0.00003991728,0.000071266,0.0007587142,0.0002351349,0.0001829401,0.0004705968,0.000002867282],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9925363,0.0005933201,0.001091019,0.0002811018,0.00002099688,0.000006268153,0.001791603,0.00004925824,0.003630183],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988902,0.0002244542,0.0002069006,0.00004335074,0.000009205652,0.000001627521,0.0004641298,0.000004699245,0.0001554709],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0846184,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1682517,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01241532865704357,"score_gpt":0.2609327763174878,"score_spread":0.2485174476604443,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}