{"id":"W3216488161","doi":"10.1029/2021sw002902","title":"Estimation of the Solar Wind Extreme Events","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Space Weather","topic":"Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada","funders":"Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad; Federación Española de Enfermedades Raras","keywords":"Solar wind; Extreme value theory; Solar maximum; Solar minimum; Coronal mass ejection; Solar cycle; Space weather; Magnetosphere; Spacecraft","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005904264,0.0002722522,0.0002661136,0.001665899,0.0001837266,0.0005764269,0.0001584621,0.0001974507,0.0007164071],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002095776,0.00009164026,0.0002005191,0.0008664131,0.00009921061,0.0003960652,0.0004006861,0.0002851224,0.0002007467],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001720527,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001270818,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001753534,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001506482,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997349,0.00005015442,0.00002639954,0.00007476785,0.00007840066,0.00003525541],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990612,0.0002847447,0.0002663101,0.00007349758,0.0002125275,0.000101789],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001849851,0.00005255143,0.9264702,0.00005755985,0.0001545978,0.000254512,0.0001393404,0.03004188,0.003662246,0.0008331835,0.001089613,0.03705922],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007912461,0.00006543256,0.9537724,0.00001848517,0.00002082079,0.0001398094,0.000205009,0.04219339,0.001335625,0.0004919936,0.001731256,0.00001782812],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9858902,0.0001887927,0.008581145,0.00003461928,0.00001870668,0.00002609865,0.002375111,0.00008458868,0.002800822],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9960174,0.00004849508,0.001564892,0.00000316026,0.00001239877,0.000006584374,0.002200849,0.00000456862,0.0001416413],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.001753534,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.003486633,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007249157911272591,"score_gpt":0.2099851964556848,"score_spread":0.2027360385444122,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}