{"id":"W3216773004","doi":"10.1016/j.jval.2021.10.004","title":"Parametric Survival Extrapolation of Early Survival Data in Economic Analyses: A Comparison of Projected Versus Observed Updated Survival","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Value in Health","topic":"Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":18,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control; Health Sciences Centre; Sunnybrook Health Science Centre","funders":"Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute","keywords":"Survival analysis; Medicine; Statistics; Randomized controlled trial; Extrapolation; Parametric statistics; Mathematics; Surgery","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02362031,0.001201157,0.004849483,0.003182924,0.0001201412,0.002120246,0.002669803,0.001480565,0.00362054],"category_scores_gemma":[0.061593,0.0005496581,0.003444681,0.004842015,0.0007449187,0.002426921,0.001228809,0.003367981,0.0006442751],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001353924,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001703113,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002511764,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002176262,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9908988,0.005956144,0.0007711333,0.000551521,0.001722681,0.00009959074],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9331214,0.06180968,0.001898792,0.001104161,0.001927124,0.0001388366],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006947713,0.00006937744,0.001268854,0.02711049,0.002593743,0.0000646796,0.00006896568,0.005545881,0.00009687609,0.008932026,0.006345308,0.9472091],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002532164,0.002554952,0.03660767,0.2128008,0.03058903,0.003322626,0.0005314362,0.0423575,0.002392292,0.1415393,0.5240778,0.0006944838],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.0007619547,0.9936073,0.004278565,0.0004008407,0.000143125,0.00002743825,0.0002357566,0.00001658193,0.0005283921],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01477475,0.9789331,0.005001071,0.0002549422,0.0003042562,0.00009895913,0.0003892951,0.00002276563,0.000220832],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02362031,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1249176,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.8939621023731137,"score_gpt":0.5850169261698159,"score_spread":0.3089451762032978,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}