{"id":"W362640137","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2872299","title":"The US Labor Market in 2030: A Scenario Based on Current Trends in Supply and Demand","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Labor market dynamics and wage inequality","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Supply and demand; Current (fluid); Economics; Industrial organization; Excess supply; Business; Labour economics; Microeconomics; Engineering; Electrical engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006701666,0.0005348644,0.0004842209,0.001128871,0.0008486875,0.002568348,0.0007464485,0.002799371,0.00441664],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001615216,0.0002942749,0.0009171073,0.002998651,0.0005881433,0.002767404,0.001530944,0.001373557,0.0009892852],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003767509,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001758817,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07261547,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1288006,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995334,0.0001056875,0.00003649197,0.00005447714,0.00007228352,0.0001976539],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994648,0.00005481902,0.0001369807,0.00001362152,0.0001611291,0.0001686671],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004179531,0.0007276566,0.5513983,0.0005877779,0.0004891469,0.007598962,0.002841814,0.06561878,0.00351697,0.1298847,0.1801295,0.05302682],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003701313,0.001094911,0.5643553,0.0005225396,0.0003146433,0.003377916,0.02753094,0.2147969,0.001506229,0.07583158,0.1098032,0.0004957573],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8911239,0.002343494,0.003057903,0.03900953,0.0007678986,0.00007635062,0.0418654,0.0002880887,0.0214674],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9892048,0.0008283487,0.0009467531,0.00121412,0.00008324791,0.00005753703,0.005605792,0.00002361509,0.00203567],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07261547,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1443856,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008134493475332731,"score_gpt":0.2177749217635142,"score_spread":0.2096404282881815,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}