{"id":"W4200038067","doi":"10.46234/ccdcw2021.253","title":"The Incoming Influenza Season — China, the United Kingdom, and the United States, 2021–2022","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"China CDC Weekly","topic":"Infection Control and Ventilation","field":"Medicine","cited_by":23,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Peking Union Medical College; Centre de Recherches Mathématiques; Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; Peking University; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences; University of Southampton; Harvard University","keywords":"Pandemic; China; Outbreak; Transmission (telecommunications); Demography; Geography; Environmental health; Vaccination; Psychological intervention; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Human mortality from H5N1; Seasonal influenza; Medicine; Socioeconomics; Virology; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001032383,0.0001804374,0.000225358,0.00009982214,0.001141515,0.0001756475,0.0001295389,0.00007769185,0.0001443925],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0006777889,0.00008466652,0.0001137105,0.0009481792,0.0002783635,0.0000802755,0.0001000197,0.0005726134,0.00001969206],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007375088,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001131361,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001355186,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001331101,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998473,0.0004491472,0.0002943484,0.0002201637,0.0002947322,0.0002686102],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985489,0.0005269257,0.0001563052,0.0004768834,0.0002121848,0.00007875125],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01274327,0.001451858,0.2555162,0.0005505462,0.003521281,0.0004274655,0.03892172,0.01096833,0.005094087,0.4192529,0.08649895,0.1650534],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00623837,0.0001119708,0.4635123,0.0001666907,0.0003198371,0.0001501876,0.000941957,0.08385472,0.000236452,0.003051613,0.4412322,0.000183694],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9585615,0.00121021,0.001459461,0.03554612,0.0004801423,0.0005138682,0.000008995832,0.00006321054,0.002156453],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9937508,0.0003272326,0.00001759992,0.002896345,0.000396702,0.00003685687,0.0001625552,0.00002506109,0.002386835],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4162013,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8779725,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01652805116945593,"score_gpt":0.2762774624052361,"score_spread":0.2597494112357802,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}