{"id":"W4200038067","doi":"10.46234/ccdcw2021.253","title":"The Incoming Influenza Season — China, the United Kingdom, and the United States, 2021–2022","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"China CDC Weekly","topic":"Infection Control and Ventilation","field":"Medicine","cited_by":23,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Peking Union Medical College; Centre de Recherches Mathématiques; Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; Peking University; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences; University of Southampton; Harvard University","keywords":"Pandemic; China; Outbreak; Transmission (telecommunications); Demography; Geography; Environmental health; Vaccination; Psychological intervention; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Human mortality from H5N1; Seasonal influenza; Medicine; Socioeconomics; Virology; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007475704,0.0004515413,0.0002496658,0.000514989,0.0003476178,0.0009929569,0.0002906809,0.0003665857,0.001923572],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001236823,0.0001566758,0.0003731308,0.001097707,0.0002450641,0.0007722162,0.0006173209,0.000311937,0.0003094259],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001770705,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002846571,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2498169,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2688094,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996712,0.00004791509,0.00003408194,0.00007631396,0.00009020464,0.00008020977],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993831,0.00004428919,0.0001771252,0.00003106834,0.0002256306,0.0001387676],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001032931,0.00002026925,0.9711527,0.0002026605,0.0001363971,0.0001918393,0.0003268182,0.002678586,0.0006643553,0.000577851,0.006629816,0.01731537],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007659872,0.00003875703,0.9869096,0.00009548865,0.00004247106,0.00006480092,0.0006521965,0.004051446,0.0001829001,0.0001722368,0.007769772,0.00001260926],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9537764,0.007058577,0.001113261,0.003817272,0.0002439965,0.00009206712,0.02412609,0.00006436105,0.009707909],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9879894,0.001510641,0.0005169964,0.0003908907,0.0000495081,0.00003525533,0.007987376,0.000008031097,0.001511948],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2498169,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4967256,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01652805116945593,"score_gpt":0.2762774624052361,"score_spread":0.2597494112357802,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}