{"id":"W4200039293","doi":"10.1101/2021.12.14.21267606","title":"Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"St. Michael's Hospital; Toronto General Hospital; University of Toronto; University Health Network; BlueDot (Canada)","funders":"Medical Research Council; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; University of Oxford; University of Warwick; Vlaamse regering; Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS; Directorate for Biological Sciences; National Institutes of Health; Fast Grants; Natural Environment Research Council; UK Research and Innovation; Wellcome Trust; KU Leuven; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Rockefeller Foundation; Fondation Botnar; European Commission; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","keywords":"Delta; Context (archaeology); Geography; Contact tracing; Pandemic; Population; Outbreak; Transmission (telecommunications); Psychological intervention; Genealogy; Demography; Economic geography; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Biology; Virology; History; Medicine; Disease; Sociology; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006925538,0.0003326744,0.0007129059,0.0001546824,0.00009835845,0.0000569712,0.0006270343,0.0003192319,0.00004324568],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005744421,0.0002333434,0.0002950379,0.0004205226,0.0003886742,0.00004569775,0.001337064,0.001056457,0.00002025908],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005411811,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007170351,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009518545,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002190746,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972602,0.0002176681,0.0005604684,0.0007640598,0.0008018689,0.0003957596],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977377,0.0001542767,0.0002013136,0.001301877,0.0005601266,0.0000447101],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_gemma":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000265531,0.0003482723,0.2857456,0.001616649,0.0004138548,0.0007422364,0.001778469,2.328396e-7,0.6991957,0.002609347,0.002568548,0.004715588],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001107947,0.0001070389,0.07865693,0.0009573381,0.000160224,0.0001996746,0.0003112898,0.0002723401,0.88169,0.001151887,0.03502168,0.0003636619],"study_design_candidate":"bench_or_experimental","study_design_consensus":"bench_or_experimental","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9871015,0.007369559,0.0004694284,0.001466537,0.0008171714,0.000683997,0.00003163295,0.00003976335,0.002020423],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9900264,0.0003388599,0.0001319897,0.009114961,0.0002155307,0.0000653132,0.000006707781,0.0000482424,0.00005198484],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2070886,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9515468,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07129896816386623,"score_gpt":0.3368531436146682,"score_spread":0.265554175450802,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}