{"id":"W4200156983","doi":"10.3847/1538-3881/ac341b","title":"Visibility Predictions for Near-future Satellite Megaconstellations: Latitudes near 50° Will Experience the Worst Light Pollution","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Astronomical Journal","topic":"Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":47,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"The Scarborough Hospital; University of Toronto; University of British Columbia; Campion College; University of Regina","funders":"","keywords":"Solstice; Sky; Sunset; Light pollution; Satellite; Night sky; Environmental science; Visibility; Latitude; Meteorology; Sunrise; Remote sensing; Geography; Astronomy; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003085736,0.0001769776,0.000207093,0.00001424925,0.00173716,0.0003990377,0.0002482605,0.00004157068,0.0004390951],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002837079,0.000104952,0.0002303898,0.0001090094,0.000279509,0.0002195962,0.00007327792,0.0003887867,0.00002154415],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004943435,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001756702,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002217979,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001161722,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987569,0.0001531951,0.0003755131,0.0002257754,0.0001633829,0.000325166],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998933,0.0003494968,0.0001725665,0.0003300076,0.0001118854,0.0001030218],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001065128,0.0001152425,0.9725413,0.000003913537,0.0003941958,4.63089e-7,0.003022978,0.005893528,0.00005158458,0.002964625,0.00205326,0.01285235],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000634416,0.00005704414,0.83389,0.0000262603,0.0001870469,0.00003088098,0.004077379,0.002643863,0.0001813554,0.002322195,0.1557603,0.0001892881],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9184667,0.003700459,0.04373293,0.02160779,0.002506954,0.000718195,0.00008650679,0.00004876574,0.009131668],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9945968,0.00004787551,0.002387886,0.00009811355,0.002619843,0.00001838529,0.00002210771,0.00001196572,0.0001970504],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.153707,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9995624,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0117281088799386,"score_gpt":0.2453318985197018,"score_spread":0.2336037896397632,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}