{"id":"W4200281219","doi":"10.1111/cdev.13718","title":"Causal knowledge and children’s possibility judgments","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Child Development","topic":"Child and Animal Learning Development","field":"Psychology","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Psychology; Developmental psychology; Event (particle physics); Causal reasoning; Social psychology; Cognitive psychology; Cognition","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003689263,0.0004779014,0.0003231671,0.001455777,0.0006709558,0.003358556,0.000811347,0.001145936,0.006411827],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0378354,0.000591656,0.00036989,0.0005844607,0.003576581,0.00183341,0.001219674,0.001255422,0.0004654611],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002429884,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002027582,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1486057,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1773309,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968953,0.0004667288,0.0001760387,0.0003923607,0.001644216,0.0004253088],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9702701,0.01795992,0.007403886,0.001138901,0.002210604,0.001016629],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006999474,0.0003625182,0.8885969,0.0002821492,0.00009865,0.001965037,0.05476032,0.001448977,0.01083568,0.006944964,0.001314733,0.03269019],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005779858,0.000305104,0.9562058,0.0003430549,0.0001184453,0.001495845,0.02194145,0.001881259,0.004731566,0.006616255,0.006149703,0.0001537229],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9921176,0.0002842438,0.0002683232,0.0001270853,0.000005332759,0.00001296516,0.0001152734,0.00001089618,0.007058317],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984019,0.0002731308,0.0003829861,0.00003401209,0.000003507902,0.00001041728,0.0001550819,0.000004520786,0.0007345069],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1486057,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2954814,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01637556469909726,"score_gpt":0.2863974154381959,"score_spread":0.2700218507390986,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}