{"id":"W4200513534","doi":"10.1017/9781108877428","title":"The Power of Polls?","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal; Wilfrid Laurier University","funders":"","keywords":"Sophistication; Opinion poll; Voting; Affect (linguistics); Work (physics); Political science; Public opinion; Power (physics); General election; Politics; Public administration; Sociology; Social science; Law; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.09616917,0.0005550148,0.001140225,0.001420884,0.001179588,0.005558887,0.001666514,0.001960866,0.01100775],"category_scores_gemma":[0.3680056,0.0006336757,0.000876897,0.001802568,0.006864737,0.009874413,0.003610863,0.003069744,0.002360778],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001264049,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001169149,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0009149854,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008280456,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9038246,0.07548134,0.001981718,0.007097793,0.01036791,0.001246706],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.4634997,0.4572538,0.03001151,0.03690733,0.009392825,0.002934777],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002266298,0.0007460901,0.1597198,0.001659438,0.001407098,0.0001792265,0.01566153,0.005605459,0.006075791,0.3064225,0.01635188,0.483905],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000928562,0.003153158,0.2577271,0.001842042,0.001079893,0.0006293057,0.009712379,0.02603325,0.009945128,0.5355112,0.1531565,0.0002815455],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.496318,0.007540589,0.1320399,0.04482637,0.001886519,0.001054393,0.00135425,0.0005774908,0.3144026],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9814555,0.0008759963,0.008031012,0.002921039,0.0006354323,0.0006182363,0.0002188333,0.0001342038,0.005109814],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.09616917,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5085973,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03250477262103303,"score_gpt":0.2676460966298453,"score_spread":0.2351413240088123,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}