{"id":"W4206244624","doi":"10.1525/elementa.2021.00033","title":"Contrasting phenological and demographic responses of Atlantic Puffin (<i>Fratercula arctica</i>) and Razorbill (<i>Alca torda</i>) to climate change in the Gulf of Maine","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Elementa Science of the Anthropocene","topic":"Avian ecology and behavior","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of New Brunswick","funders":"","keywords":"Fledge; Seabird; Climate change; Phenology; Ecology; Fishery; Geography; Biology; Predation","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002592499,0.0001181068,0.0001039128,0.0004357762,0.0002726634,0.0002676721,0.0001634569,0.0002262505,0.000697324],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005263687,0.0001076288,0.0001548228,0.0001964449,0.0002517975,0.0002163971,0.0002374611,0.0002224514,0.0001219675],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004514683,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001964151,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02378938,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1013551,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999127,0.00001332105,0.000006620338,0.0000300049,0.00001309498,0.00002410584],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995682,0.00005170446,0.0001824789,0.00002118407,0.00007034904,0.0001062247],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007127798,0.00002727661,0.9849214,0.00001047181,0.00002728077,0.00006066396,0.0004578202,0.00009341914,0.01209881,0.00003652653,0.00007964581,0.002115477],"study_design_scores_gemma":[2.709017e-7,0.00001071138,0.9997872,6.808994e-7,0.000001116744,0.000008944029,0.00006676608,0.00002283528,0.00006170291,0.000002162998,0.00003702127,6.294348e-7],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9997894,0.00001973324,0.00001201946,0.000008679955,8.96406e-7,8.046091e-7,0.00004761285,5.787059e-7,0.000120279],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994961,0.00002450029,0.00004251363,0.00002604687,0.000002514341,0.000003925722,0.0001878691,8.006879e-7,0.000215661],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02378938,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04730183,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02294238968364419,"score_gpt":0.2863587391616779,"score_spread":0.2634163494780337,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}