{"id":"W4206446437","doi":"10.22215/etd/2021-14696","title":"Long Period Trajectories of the Seasonal SIR Model","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"dissertation","venue":"","topic":"Viral Infections and Vectors","field":"Medicine","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University","funders":"","keywords":"Outbreak; Period (music); Epidemic model; Forcing (mathematics); Climatology; Seasonality; Geography; Environmental science; Meteorology; Mathematics; Demography; Statistics; Biology; Geology; Physics; Virology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001838224,0.0005992539,0.0009999921,0.0006089468,0.0006454665,0.001643036,0.001243687,0.001549724,0.01308563],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01271858,0.0004440797,0.000767969,0.0005069895,0.0009691747,0.001728952,0.001312159,0.002385223,0.001301887],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001395721,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001062228,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02397808,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01697169,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997138,0.0001185716,0.000007210717,0.00004887675,0.00002338477,0.00008809183],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.995927,0.002628131,0.0004832304,0.0001761734,0.0003605197,0.0004248313],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003618255,0.00009949376,0.01483613,0.0002042165,0.0001979766,0.0005223426,0.0005875584,0.5754009,0.001157195,0.3633631,0.03281507,0.0104541],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003988403,0.00003975564,0.003518918,0.00005162888,0.00003574659,0.00007343881,0.0002777335,0.913628,0.00009635377,0.07916739,0.003035343,0.00003581716],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7842343,0.003027529,0.1289576,0.01334813,0.0004849551,0.000104558,0.004623537,0.0004551744,0.06476428],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9567679,0.0009587337,0.00447866,0.0003659835,0.0001064337,0.00007521898,0.00120205,0.0001625373,0.03588258],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02397808,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04767704,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01809572138009439,"score_gpt":0.2935897263811897,"score_spread":0.2754940050010953,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}