{"id":"W4206912942","doi":"10.1136/bmj.o169","title":"Covid-19: The polio epidemic is a better analogy","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"BMJ","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Analogy; Virology; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Poliomyelitis; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Betacoronavirus; Medicine; Outbreak; Epistemology; Philosophy; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Disease; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02265664,0.001708146,0.004050466,0.002192686,0.01055629,0.01179813,0.004030245,0.1392367,0.0156606],"category_scores_gemma":[0.09851515,0.001787835,0.002646717,0.002017125,0.009542551,0.01390996,0.006969186,0.1015887,0.01170305],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.008472968,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01545056,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01865819,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02790646,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9798269,0.00799393,0.003254642,0.002266455,0.004448357,0.002209665],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9255769,0.04508502,0.003719368,0.002447873,0.007643065,0.01552779],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001062672,0.0000407476,0.0008370015,0.0001308665,0.0000460039,0.001230178,0.0002648296,0.00003020522,0.0001547486,0.005732627,0.9866175,0.004808918],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003787564,0.0001046089,0.002508581,0.001124507,0.00008774129,0.001323122,0.001554319,0.0002535827,0.0001449476,0.02264196,0.9697094,0.0001684447],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.000146048,0.000953236,0.00003248816,0.976754,0.02084869,0.000007967392,0.00004468767,0.000007474385,0.001205531],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.001067198,0.0004705155,0.00008394491,0.9510356,0.04423735,0.00002620418,0.00002258566,0.00001951728,0.003037156],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1392367,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1198212,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1673401741874526,"score_gpt":0.4562991360199881,"score_spread":0.2889589618325354,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}