{"id":"W4207065141","doi":"10.1038/d41586-022-00171-x","title":"Coronapod: COVID death toll is likely millions more than official counts","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"World Federation of Science Journalists","funders":"","keywords":"Death toll; Toll; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Demography; Virology; Medicine; Immunology; Outbreak; Sociology; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002097631,0.0003801213,0.0003504481,0.001519149,0.0005889817,0.001749915,0.0003657347,0.0007367163,0.03078453],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01207163,0.000186959,0.0004312827,0.002059154,0.0004561248,0.001820954,0.001019313,0.001609123,0.00329406],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009238766,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008615612,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007513453,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009030375,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982628,0.0005848897,0.0001265114,0.0002302177,0.0005673657,0.0002281531],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9951707,0.001527065,0.001509532,0.0004659884,0.0008900354,0.0004367993],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005798132,0.000176993,0.2574749,0.0006756321,0.0004317448,0.0002215097,0.0005472291,0.0006408648,0.0004335607,0.06739637,0.5352789,0.1361424],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008343191,0.0003556957,0.3957289,0.00094412,0.0003150099,0.001413893,0.003175034,0.002290979,0.0007277339,0.03226784,0.5626363,0.00006112258],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3212112,0.02490498,0.01437268,0.1409591,0.01773982,0.0002203063,0.1061895,0.0007392351,0.3736632],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8728883,0.01271613,0.003962714,0.01252116,0.004816332,0.0002323042,0.03260726,0.0001572297,0.06009853],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.03078453,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1029845,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1585161213598305,"score_gpt":0.4292825503017839,"score_spread":0.2707664289419534,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}